Bitcoin faces 30-40% drop risk below $100K as AI model warns of summer decline

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Bitcoin is facing the increasing scrutiny as the AI’s model predicts a possible decrease in sharp prices this summer, leading to concerns among the market participants. According to the analysis, the coded currency currently tests the decisive support near 116,000 dollars, with less than this level from paying prices to $ 105,000 or even less than $ 100,000 by late August 2025 [1]. Warning comes Bitcoin It hovers near 117,970 dollars, a level that remains under pressure amid mixed signals of technical indicators and long -term conflicting forecasts [1].

The artificial intelligence model is the most prominent risk of leading this landwriting scenario, including slowing flows in immediate traded investment funds and the wider market. It saw an increase in the demand for ETF, which fueled the Bitcoin raising for more than $ 123,000, a record flow of $ 130.8 million on June 25 alone. However, modern trends indicate that this momentum is diminished, which raises questions about the sustainability of current prices [1]. Analysts in City It acknowledges the uncertainty, as it offered a basic goal of $ 135,000 by the end of the year, but warns that the landing scenario can see a decrease in prices to $ 64,000 [1].

Artificial intelligence also emphasized Bitcoin’s increasing association with the S&P 500, a transformation that emphasizes the sensitivity of the cryptocurrency to the conditions of macroeconomic. Organizational procedures or security violations have been marked as possible incentives for more declines, with the model estimated the possibility of bitcoin decreased by 30-40 %. [1]. Meanwhile, the Michaël Van de Poppe 116,800 dollars has set a pivotal support level, indicating that a sustainable break can open the door to accumulate opportunities between $ 110,000 – $ 112,000 [1].

Amid these risks, contradictory views continue. Some analysts, such as those in B2BINPAY and Markets and Company, drew attention to the support level of $ 98,300, warning that a sustainable proximity is less than this threshold may lead to a 17 % decrease to 85,400 dollars [2]. On the contrary, long -term optimism is supported by institutional adoption and macroeconomic trends, with expectations such as Matt Hogan, “The Year of collapse” for Bitcoin in 2026 [2]. This difference sheds light on the complexity of the Bitcoin track, where short -term volatility coexists with bullish growth expectations in the future.

The discussion on the role of artificial intelligence in financial prediction adds another layer to the discussion. While the algorithm models provide fast-based visions, their restrictions in calculating unpredictable events-such as organizational transformations or geopolitical developments- [2]. For investors, the challenge lies in the balance of these immediate risks with the broader narration of Bitcoin’s long -term dependence. Traders are advised to closely monitor the main technical levels, especially with the progress of the summer season and market dynamics develop.

source: [1] [AI Model Issues Warning: Bitcoin Could See Sharp Decline This Summer] [https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/68857eba1395373d500baf6d/]

[2] [Bitcoin Must Hold Above $98300 to Avoid 17% Drop, …] [https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-hold-98-300-avoid-17-drop-analysts-warn-2507/]

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