SOL’s ​Bear Flag Targets $86 Amid Weakening Onchain Activity

SOL’s ​Bear Flag Targets $86 Amid Weakening Onchain Activity

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Solana native token SOL (Sol) increased by 52% between September 18 and November 21, following the broader altcoin market collapse that saw Bitcoin reach a high. Seven-month low of $80,000. As a result, SOL price has lost key long-term support levels, with on-chain and technical data pointing to a deeper correction below $100.

Main takeaways:

  • Solana’s total value fell to a six-month low of $8.67 billion.

  • Solana coin’s weekly trading volume collapsed by 95% in 2025.

  • The bear flag indicates SOL price falling towards $86.

Solana’s TVL drops to June levels

the The total value is closed (TVL) on the Solana blockchain fell more than 34% to a six-month low of $8.67 billion on Wednesday from a peak of $13.22 billion reached on September 14. Solana’s TVL has remained below $10 billion over the past 30 days.

Solana TVL. Source: Devilama

Data from DefiLlama He appears The subsequent decline in TVL was driven by liquid Jito stakes, with a 53% decline since mid-September. Other major decentralized applications, such as the Jupiter DEX protocol, Raydium, and Sanctum, recorded declines of 30%, 46%, and 46%, respectively.

Related to: Solana ETFs record 7-day inflow streak despite price decline

The possibility of SOL price falling below $100 is supported by the decline in Solana price Network feesActive addresses and number of transactions over the past seven days.

Blockchains are rated by 30-day fees in USD. Source: Nansen

Solana Series fees totaled $3.43 million over the past week, representing an 11% decrease from the previous week and a 23% decrease from last month.

Likewise, the number of active addresses (AAs) on Solana’s base layer decreased by 7.8% over the same period, while the number of transactions decreased by 6.3% over a seven-day period.

The decline in AAs, number of transactions, and network fees indicate a decline in on-chain demand for SOL, adding to the overall pressure.

Solana memecoin volume collapsed

The decline in Solana’s TVL mirrors the bearish trend in Solana-based memecoins as they are flashing red across the board.

Based on Solana com. memecoins It recorded double-digit losses on both the weekly and monthly time frames, as shown in the figure below. The majority of these tokens are down 10% to 25% from local highs.

Performance of Solana-based memcoins. source: Queen Gekko

This decline in the prices of Solana-based meme coins was accompanied by a decrease in DEX activity on First layer blockchain. Weekly decentralized trading volume on Solana attributed to memcoins remains weak, falling 95% to $2.7 billion from its peak of $56 billion recorded in January, according to data from Blockworks Research.

Memecoin trading volume on Solana. source: Concrete block works research

A decrease in memecoin activity on Solana indicates decreased network activity and declining usage, negatively impacting demand and the price of SOL.

SOL’s “Bear Banner” is targeting $90,000

Data from Cointelegraph Pro Markets and TradingView It indicates that SOL is trading below the bearish flag, indicating the risk of further decline.

A bear flag is a bearish continuation pattern that occurs after a significant decline, followed by a period of consolidation at the lower end of the price range.

A break below the flag support line at $135 last week set the stage for the altcoin’s next move lower. The measured target for the bearish flag is $86, or a 32% decline from its current price level.

SOL/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Before reaching this level, SOL could find support from the 200-week moving average at $118, where the bulls are expected to make a strong defense.

“A bearish flag is forming on Solana’s 4-hour chart.” He said Leverage trader alias Grim in an X post on Wednesday, adding:

“I wouldn’t be surprised to see Solana price between $90 and $100 soon.”

like Cointelegraph reportedA breakout of SOL price below the symmetrical triangle support line at $126 would indicate that the bears are in control, leading to a deeper correction towards $95.

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