While most analysts expect the Crypto Bull cycle to continue until the end of 2025, concerns about economic recession in the United States, along with the “Crypto” circular economy, may still threaten encrypted assessments.
Although the last market corrected, most encryption analysts expect that the bull cycle will reach its peak after the third quarter of 2025, with Bitcoin (BTCPrice predictions It ranges from 160,000 dollars to Above 180,000 dollars.
Besides external concerns, such as the potential recession in the largest economy in the world, the largest Crypto risk, especially in the industry, is the “circular” nature of its economy, according to Arthur Pretman, co -founder of Tezos.
“In this industry, the main risks are that the industry is still looking very much for grounding. Brittman told Cointelegraph:” Everything is still very circular. “
“If you look at Defi, for example, the financing point is the financing of something […]”If the only thing that was financially financial is more defense, this is circular,” said Pretman.
“If the only reason people want to buy your distinctive symbol is that they feel that others will want to buy this distinctive symbol, this is circular.”
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Pretman added that this contradicts starkly with the stock market, which is “based on revenue generation”, which makes “lack of grounding” in the encryption industry one of the main threats in the industry.
The other informed in the industry also criticized the condition of the encryption economy, specifically associated with the latest mechanical collapses, which run liquidity from the most firm cryptocurrencies.
Solana flows. Source: Debridge, Binance Research
Solana was injured by more than 485 million dollars February flows in February deserve the last wave of The memecoin carpet is withdrawn An investor trip to “Safety”, where some capital flows to Mimikwins on the BNB series, such as Broccoli MumikoenInspired by the Changpeng Zhao dog.
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The recession fears in the United States are the largest external danger to Crypto: a co -founder of Tezos
In addition to industry events, large economic concerns, including the potential American recession, threaten traditional currency markets and encryption.
“With regard to total events, I still think we can see stagnation,” Pretman said, adding:
“There are a lot of the ups off the market, but there are also a lot of traditional recession indicators that were flashing for a while now. So I don’t think you can exclude them.”
He added that the cryptocurrency markets are still trading in great connection with technology shares, which means that the recession will lead to a large -scale sale.
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Fears of the current trade war, led by the tariff for US President Donald Trump, and the ongoing retaliatory measures, have raised concerns about the possible recession.

source: Polymarket
More than 40 % of the market participants expect a recession in the United States this year, up from only 22 % per month on February 17, according to the largest central non -central prediction market, Polymarket.
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